GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
1win#33 in the world · win 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga#22 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust21win pick
63%38%
1win · 15 mapsedge 1win +25%Nemiga · 9 maps
AncientNemiga pick
59%50%
1win · 13 mapsedge 1win +9%Nemiga · 6 maps
MirageNemiga ban
38%56%
1win · 12 mapsedge Nemiga +18%Nemiga · 5 maps
Anubis1win ban
36%78%
1win · 10 mapsedge Nemiga +42%Nemiga · 5 maps
Overpass1win ban
33%50%
1win · 5 mapsedge Nemiga +17%Nemiga · 4 maps
CacheNemiga ban
64%50%
1win · 7 mapsedge 1win +14%Nemiga · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%40%
1win · 2 mapsedge 1win +10%Nemiga · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban1win remove Anubis
2. BanNemiga remove Mirage
3. Pick1win take Dust2
4. PickNemiga take Ancient
5. BanNemiga remove Cache
6. Ban1win remove Overpass
DeciderDefault (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed16:14
1win 12%Nemiga 88%
The model gave 88% on Nemiga — the map was taken by 1win.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
1win 76%Nemiga 24%
The model gave 76% on 1win — the map was taken by 1win.
Model check result
Model favorite1win · 59%
Series result1win 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2