GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BET-M#65 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-RUBY ban
56%38%
ex-RUBY · 21 mapedge ex-RUBY +18%BET-M · 9 maps
Nukeex-RUBY pick
61%54%
ex-RUBY · 19 mapsedge ex-RUBY +7%BET-M · 9 maps
MirageBET-M pick
64%55%
ex-RUBY · 18 mapsedge ex-RUBY +9%BET-M · 7 maps
AncientBET-M ban
47%30%
ex-RUBY · 15 mapsedge ex-RUBY +17%BET-M · 6 maps
Infernoex-RUBY ban
50%54%
ex-RUBY · 0 mapsnearly even -4%BET-M · 9 maps
Overpasspossible decider
64%50%
ex-RUBY · 7 mapsedge ex-RUBY +14%BET-M · 0 maps
CacheBET-M ban
50%50%
ex-RUBY · 6 mapsnearly even +0%BET-M · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-RUBY remove Inferno
2. BanBET-M remove Cache
3. Pickex-RUBY take Nuke
4. PickBET-M take Mirage
5. BanBET-M remove Ancient
6. Banex-RUBY remove Dust2
DeciderOverpass (64% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
ex-RUBY 64%BET-M 36%
The model gave 64% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
ex-RUBY 62%BET-M 38%
The model gave 62% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUBY · 57%
Series resultex-RUBY 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2