GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga#22 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-RUBY pick
43%57%
Nemiga · 10 mapsedge ex-RUBY +14%ex-RUBY · 19 maps
MirageNemiga ban
56%65%
Nemiga · 5 mapsedge ex-RUBY +9%ex-RUBY · 19 maps
NukeNemiga pick
71%59%
Nemiga · 3 mapsedge Nemiga +12%ex-RUBY · 18 maps
Ancientex-RUBY ban
44%44%
Nemiga · 5 mapsnearly even +0%ex-RUBY · 12 maps
Overpasspossible decider
50%60%
Nemiga · 2 mapsedge ex-RUBY +10%ex-RUBY · 6 maps
Anubisex-RUBY ban
70%60%
Nemiga · 6 mapsedge Nemiga +10%ex-RUBY · 1 map
CacheNemiga ban
50%50%
Nemiga · 0 mapsnearly even +0%ex-RUBY · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemiga remove Mirage
2. Banex-RUBY remove Anubis
3. PickNemiga take Nuke
4. Pickex-RUBY take Dust2
5. Banex-RUBY remove Ancient
6. BanNemiga remove Cache
DeciderOverpass (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:4
Nemiga 66%ex-RUBY 34%
The model gave 66% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
Nemiga 34%ex-RUBY 66%
The model gave 66% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Ancientprediction missed8:13
Nemiga 51%ex-RUBY 49%
The model gave 51% on Nemiga — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 71%
Series resultex-RUBY 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3