GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Xcity#224 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientColor pick
70%40%
Color · 6 mapsedge Color +30%Xcity · 1 map
Dust2Xcity ban
64%50%
Color · 7 mapsedge Color +14%Xcity · 0 maps
InfernoColor ban
57%40%
Color · 3 mapsedge Color +17%Xcity · 1 map
MirageXcity pick
50%50%
Color · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Xcity · 0 maps
AnubisXcity ban
57%50%
Color · 3 mapsedge Color +7%Xcity · 0 maps
CacheColor ban
33%50%
Color · 2 mapsedge Xcity +17%Xcity · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%60%
Color · 1 mapnearly even +0%Xcity · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanColor remove Cache
2. BanXcity remove Dust2
3. PickColor take Ancient
4. PickXcity take Mirage
5. BanXcity remove Anubis
6. BanColor remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:6
Color 31%Xcity 69%
The model gave 69% on Xcity — the map was taken by Color.
Mirageprediction correct13:5
Color 53%Xcity 47%
The model gave 53% on Color — the map was taken by Color.
Model check result
Model favoriteColor · 75%
Series resultColor 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2