GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
FORZE Reload#75 in the world · win 2:0series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Black Phoenix#57 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2FORZE Reload pick
63%59%
FORZE Reload · 4 mapsnearly even +4%Black Phoenix · 23 maps
MirageBlack Phoenix ban
50%44%
FORZE Reload · 4 mapsedge FORZE Reload +6%Black Phoenix · 14 maps
Nukepossible decider
57%50%
FORZE Reload · 3 mapsedge FORZE Reload +7%Black Phoenix · 12 maps
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
57%15%
FORZE Reload · 3 mapsedge FORZE Reload +42%Black Phoenix · 9 maps
CacheBlack Phoenix pick
57%62%
FORZE Reload · 3 mapsedge Black Phoenix +5%Black Phoenix · 9 maps
InfernoFORZE Reload ban
50%62%
FORZE Reload · 0 mapsedge Black Phoenix +12%Black Phoenix · 9 maps
DefaultFORZE Reload ban
40%50%
FORZE Reload · 1 mapedge Black Phoenix +10%Black Phoenix · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFORZE Reload remove Inferno
2. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
3. PickFORZE Reload take Dust2
4. PickBlack Phoenix take Cache
5. BanBlack Phoenix remove Mirage
6. BanFORZE Reload remove Default
DeciderNuke (57% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:10
FORZE Reload 58%Black Phoenix 42%
The model gave 58% on FORZE Reload — the map was taken by FORZE Reload.
Dust2prediction correct13:10
FORZE Reload 50%Black Phoenix 50%
The model gave 50% on FORZE Reload — the map was taken by FORZE Reload.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlack Phoenix · 56%
Series resultFORZE Reload 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2