GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga#22 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nuclear TigeRES#54 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisNemiga pick
70%65%
Nemiga · 6 mapsedge Nemiga +5%Nuclear TigeRES · 13 maps
Dust2Nemiga ban
40%67%
Nemiga · 11 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +27%Nuclear TigeRES · 8 maps
AncientNuclear TigeRES pick
40%60%
Nemiga · 6 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +20%Nuclear TigeRES · 11 maps
NukeNuclear TigeRES ban
75%50%
Nemiga · 4 mapsedge Nemiga +25%Nuclear TigeRES · 10 maps
MirageNuclear TigeRES ban
56%38%
Nemiga · 5 mapsedge Nemiga +18%Nuclear TigeRES · 4 maps
InfernoNemiga ban
50%71%
Nemiga · 0 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +21%Nuclear TigeRES · 3 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%67%
Nemiga · 0 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +17%Nuclear TigeRES · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemiga remove Inferno
2. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Mirage
3. PickNemiga take Anubis
4. PickNuclear TigeRES take Ancient
5. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Nuke
6. BanNemiga remove Dust2
DeciderCache (50% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed10:13
Nemiga 77%Nuclear TigeRES 23%
The model gave 77% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Ancientprediction correct14:16
Nemiga 28%Nuclear TigeRES 72%
The model gave 72% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 50%
Series resultNuclear TigeRES 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2