GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
K27#44 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageK27 pick
67%71%
K27 · 14 mapsnearly even -4%ex-RUBY · 17 maps
NukeK27 ban
25%52%
K27 · 12 mapsedge ex-RUBY +27%ex-RUBY · 17 maps
Dust2ex-RUBY pick
62%65%
K27 · 9 mapsnearly even -3%ex-RUBY · 19 maps
Ancientex-RUBY ban
67%50%
K27 · 11 mapsedge K27 +17%ex-RUBY · 12 maps
Cachepossible decider
64%55%
K27 · 7 mapsedge K27 +9%ex-RUBY · 7 maps
OverpassK27 ban
67%67%
K27 · 2 mapsnearly even +0%ex-RUBY · 5 maps
Anubisex-RUBY ban
56%60%
K27 · 5 mapsnearly even -4%ex-RUBY · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanK27 remove Nuke
2. Banex-RUBY remove Anubis
3. PickK27 take Mirage
4. Pickex-RUBY take Dust2
5. Banex-RUBY remove Ancient
6. BanK27 remove Overpass
DeciderCache (64% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct4:13
K27 42%ex-RUBY 58%
The model gave 58% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Cacheprediction correct13:11
K27 62%ex-RUBY 38%
The model gave 62% on K27 — the map was taken by K27.
Ancientprediction missed6:13
K27 67%ex-RUBY 33%
The model gave 67% on K27 — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Model check result
Model favoriteK27 · 69%
Series resultex-RUBY 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3