GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
FORZE Reload#75 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Color pick
64%67%
Color · 7 mapsnearly even -3%FORZE Reload · 5 maps
MirageFORZE Reload pick
60%60%
Color · 6 mapsnearly even +0%FORZE Reload · 6 maps
Ancientpossible decider
70%67%
Color · 6 mapsnearly even +3%FORZE Reload · 2 maps
CacheColor ban
50%63%
Color · 4 mapsedge FORZE Reload +13%FORZE Reload · 4 maps
AnubisFORZE Reload ban
57%57%
Color · 3 mapsnearly even +0%FORZE Reload · 3 maps
InfernoFORZE Reload ban
57%50%
Color · 3 mapsedge Color +7%FORZE Reload · 0 maps
NukeColor ban
50%57%
Color · 0 mapsedge FORZE Reload +7%FORZE Reload · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanColor remove Nuke
2. BanFORZE Reload remove Inferno
3. PickColor take Dust2
4. PickFORZE Reload take Mirage
5. BanFORZE Reload remove Anubis
6. BanColor remove Cache
DeciderAncient (70% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:10
Color 47%FORZE Reload 53%
The model gave 53% on FORZE Reload — the map was taken by Color.
Dust2prediction missed13:10
Color 50%FORZE Reload 50%
The model gave 50% on FORZE Reload — the map was taken by Color.
Model check result
Model favoriteColor · 60%
Series resultColor 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2