GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemesis#43 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Nuclear TigeRES#54 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNuclear TigeRES pick
50%63%
Nemesis · 12 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +13%Nuclear TigeRES · 12 maps
NukeNemesis pick
73%50%
Nemesis · 7 mapsedge Nemesis +23%Nuclear TigeRES · 10 maps
Dust2Nuclear TigeRES ban
58%67%
Nemesis · 8 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +9%Nuclear TigeRES · 8 maps
AnubisNemesis ban
50%65%
Nemesis · 0 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +15%Nuclear TigeRES · 13 maps
Infernopossible decider
54%71%
Nemesis · 9 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +17%Nuclear TigeRES · 3 maps
MirageNuclear TigeRES ban
67%38%
Nemesis · 8 mapsedge Nemesis +29%Nuclear TigeRES · 4 maps
CacheNemesis ban
40%71%
Nemesis · 1 mapedge Nuclear TigeRES +31%Nuclear TigeRES · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemesis remove Anubis
2. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Mirage
3. PickNemesis take Nuke
4. PickNuclear TigeRES take Ancient
5. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Dust2
6. BanNemesis remove Cache
DeciderInferno (54% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Nemesis 47%Nuclear TigeRES 53%
The model gave 53% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Dust2prediction missed13:5
Nemesis 44%Nuclear TigeRES 56%
The model gave 56% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nemesis.
Infernoprediction correct7:13
Nemesis 32%Nuclear TigeRES 68%
The model gave 68% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemesis · 54%
Series resultNuclear TigeRES 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3