GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
1win#33 in the world · win 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust21win pick
60%64%
1win · 16 mapsnearly even -4%ex-RUBY · 18 maps
Mirageex-RUBY pick
43%73%
1win · 10 mapsedge ex-RUBY +30%ex-RUBY · 18 maps
Ancientex-RUBY ban
61%53%
1win · 14 mapsedge 1win +8%ex-RUBY · 13 maps
Nuke1win ban
50%50%
1win · 0 mapsnearly even +0%ex-RUBY · 16 maps
Cachepossible decider
64%50%
1win · 7 mapsedge 1win +14%ex-RUBY · 8 maps
Anubisex-RUBY ban
40%60%
1win · 11 mapsedge ex-RUBY +20%ex-RUBY · 1 map
Overpass1win ban
43%67%
1win · 3 mapsedge ex-RUBY +24%ex-RUBY · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban1win remove Nuke
2. Banex-RUBY remove Anubis
3. Pick1win take Dust2
4. Pickex-RUBY take Mirage
5. Banex-RUBY remove Ancient
6. Ban1win remove Overpass
DeciderCache (64% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:8
1win 20%ex-RUBY 80%
The model gave 80% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by 1win.
Dust2prediction missed13:10
1win 49%ex-RUBY 51%
The model gave 51% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by 1win.
Model check result
Model favorite1win · 73%
Series result1win 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2