GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
UPGRADE#101 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Color pick
67%50%
Color · 8 mapsedge Color +17%UPGRADE · 4 maps
Ancientpossible decider
70%50%
Color · 6 mapsedge Color +20%UPGRADE · 2 maps
AnubisUPGRADE pick
57%67%
Color · 3 mapsedge UPGRADE +10%UPGRADE · 5 maps
MirageUPGRADE ban
64%50%
Color · 7 mapsedge Color +14%UPGRADE · 0 maps
CacheUPGRADE ban
50%40%
Color · 4 mapsedge Color +10%UPGRADE · 1 map
InfernoColor ban
57%60%
Color · 3 mapsnearly even -3%UPGRADE · 1 map
NukeColor ban
50%38%
Color · 0 mapsedge Color +12%UPGRADE · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanColor remove Nuke
2. BanUPGRADE remove Cache
3. PickColor take Dust2
4. PickUPGRADE take Anubis
5. BanUPGRADE remove Mirage
6. BanColor remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (70% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:7
Color 37%UPGRADE 63%
The model gave 63% on UPGRADE — the map was taken by Color.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
Color 69%UPGRADE 31%
The model gave 69% on Color — the map was taken by Color.
Model check result
Model favoriteColor · 59%
Series resultColor 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2