CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Isurus#186 in the world · win 2:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Turma do Pagode#91 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Isurus pick
50%71%
Isurus · 6 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +21%Turma do Pagode · 3 maps
AncientIsurus ban
33%67%
Isurus · 2 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +34%Turma do Pagode · 2 maps
MirageTurma do Pagode ban
63%50%
Isurus · 4 mapsedge Isurus +13%Turma do Pagode · 0 maps
OverpassTurma do Pagode pick
50%67%
Isurus · 2 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +17%Turma do Pagode · 2 maps
NukeTurma do Pagode ban
60%33%
Isurus · 1 mapedge Isurus +27%Turma do Pagode · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
67%50%
Isurus · 2 mapsedge Isurus +17%Turma do Pagode · 0 maps
InfernoIsurus ban
50%50%
Isurus · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Turma do Pagode · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIsurus remove Ancient
2. BanTurma do Pagode remove Mirage
3. PickIsurus take Dust2
4. PickTurma do Pagode take Overpass
5. BanTurma do Pagode remove Nuke
6. BanIsurus remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:11
Isurus 18%Turma do Pagode 82%
The model gave 82% on Turma do Pagode — the map was taken by Isurus.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
Isurus 53%Turma do Pagode 47%
The model gave 53% on Isurus — the map was taken by Isurus.
Model check result
Model favoriteIsurus · 67%
Series resultIsurus 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2