NODWIN Clutch Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
TDK#86 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Sashi#38 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct8:13
TDK 47%Sashi 53%
The model gave 53% on Sashi — the map was taken by Sashi.
Dust2prediction correct13:8
TDK 53%Sashi 47%
The model gave 53% on TDK — the map was taken by TDK.
Overpassprediction missed14:16
TDK 50%Sashi 50%
The model gave 50% on TDK — the map was taken by Sashi.
Model check result
Model favoriteSashi · 55%
Series resultSashi 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3