IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
B8#17 in the world · win 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BC.Game#45 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2B8 ban
50%40%
B8 · 0 mapsedge B8 +10%BC.Game · 1 map
MirageBC.Game ban
50%40%
B8 · 0 mapsedge B8 +10%BC.Game · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanB8 remove Dust2
2. BanBC.Game remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction missed13:2
B8 47%BC.Game 53%
The model gave 53% on BC.Game — the map was taken by B8.
Mirageprediction correct13:11
B8 63%BC.Game 37%
The model gave 63% on B8 — the map was taken by B8.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 · 62%
Series resultB8 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2