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CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
OlyBet#207 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:1
SAW#165 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2OlyBet pick
60%50%
OlyBet · 1 mapedge OlyBet +10%SAW · 0 maps
MirageSAW ban
60%50%
OlyBet · 1 mapedge OlyBet +10%SAW · 0 maps
NukeOlyBet ban
40%50%
OlyBet · 1 mapedge SAW +10%SAW · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOlyBet remove Nuke
2. BanSAW remove Mirage
3. PickOlyBet take Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct7:13
OlyBet 47%SAW 53%
The model gave 53% on SAW — the map was taken by SAW.
Dust2prediction correct13:4
OlyBet 63%SAW 37%
The model gave 63% on OlyBet — the map was taken by OlyBet.
Nukeprediction missed13:7
OlyBet 40%SAW 60%
The model gave 60% on SAW — the map was taken by OlyBet.
Model check result
Model favoriteOlyBet · 52%
Series resultOlyBet 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3