IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vitality#2 in the world · win 2:0series probability
95%5%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BC.Game#60 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Vitality pick
57%50%
Vitality · 3 mapsedge Vitality +7%BC.Game · 0 maps
MirageBC.Game ban
71%50%
Vitality · 3 mapsedge Vitality +21%BC.Game · 0 maps
NukeBC.Game ban
67%50%
Vitality · 2 mapsedge Vitality +17%BC.Game · 0 maps
OverpassBC.Game pick
50%50%
Vitality · 2 mapsnearly even +0%BC.Game · 0 maps
AnubisVitality ban
60%50%
Vitality · 1 mapedge Vitality +10%BC.Game · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVitality remove Anubis
2. BanBC.Game remove Mirage
3. PickVitality take Dust2
4. PickBC.Game take Overpass
5. BanBC.Game remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
Vitality 69%BC.Game 31%
The model gave 69% on Vitality — the map was taken by Vitality.
Dust2prediction correct13:10
Vitality 60%BC.Game 40%
The model gave 60% on Vitality — the map was taken by Vitality.
Model check result
Model favoriteVitality · 95%
Series resultVitality 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2