?
NODWIN Clutch Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Oxuji#167 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TNC#139 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:5
Oxuji 47%TNC 53%
The model gave 53% on TNC — the map was taken by Oxuji.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
Oxuji 53%TNC 47%
The model gave 53% on Oxuji — the map was taken by Oxuji.
Model check result
Model favoriteTNC · 53%
Series resultOxuji 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2