PGL Astana 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
FURIA#3 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Spirit#6 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
FURIA 47%Spirit 53%
The model gave 53% on Spirit — the map was taken by Spirit.
Overpassprediction correct16:12
FURIA 53%Spirit 47%
The model gave 53% on FURIA — the map was taken by FURIA.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
FURIA 50%Spirit 50%
The model gave 50% on FURIA — the map was taken by Spirit.
Model check result
Model favoriteFURIA · 50%
Series resultSpirit 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3