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CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
MOUZ NXT#146 in the world · loss 0:2
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:2
INOX Division#66 in the world · win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2MOUZ NXT pick
63%67%
MOUZ NXT · 4 mapsnearly even -4%INOX Division · 8 maps
NukeINOX Division pick
50%57%
MOUZ NXT · 2 mapsedge INOX Division +7%INOX Division · 10 maps
InfernoMOUZ NXT ban
50%58%
MOUZ NXT · 0 mapsedge INOX Division +8%INOX Division · 8 maps
Ancientpossible decider
57%75%
MOUZ NXT · 3 mapsedge INOX Division +18%INOX Division · 4 maps
OverpassMOUZ NXT ban
40%60%
MOUZ NXT · 1 mapedge INOX Division +20%INOX Division · 6 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
30%50%
MOUZ NXT · 6 mapsedge INOX Division +20%INOX Division · 0 maps
AnubisINOX Division ban
50%50%
MOUZ NXT · 0 mapsnearly even +0%INOX Division · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMOUZ NXT remove Inferno
2. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
3. PickMOUZ NXT take Dust2
4. PickINOX Division take Nuke
5. BanINOX Division remove Anubis
6. BanMOUZ NXT remove Overpass
DeciderAncient (57% / 75%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct4:13
MOUZ NXT 28%INOX Division 72%
The model gave 72% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Dust2prediction correct4:13
MOUZ NXT 48%INOX Division 52%
The model gave 52% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Model check result
Model favoriteINOX Division · 61%
Series resultINOX Division 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2