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Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Lynn Vision#39 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Alter Ego#120 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeAlter Ego pick
50%63%
Lynn Vision · 0 mapsedge Alter Ego +13%Alter Ego · 4 maps
Dust2Lynn Vision ban
50%67%
Lynn Vision · 0 mapsedge Alter Ego +17%Alter Ego · 2 maps
MirageLynn Vision pick
50%50%
Lynn Vision · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Alter Ego · 2 maps
DefaultAlter Ego ban
50%40%
Lynn Vision · 0 mapsedge Lynn Vision +10%Alter Ego · 1 map
OverpassAlter Ego ban
50%60%
Lynn Vision · 0 mapsedge Alter Ego +10%Alter Ego · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLynn Vision remove Dust2
2. BanAlter Ego remove Default
3. PickLynn Vision take Mirage
4. PickAlter Ego take Nuke
5. BanAlter Ego remove Overpass
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:10
Lynn Vision 36%Alter Ego 64%
The model gave 64% on Alter Ego — the map was taken by Lynn Vision.
Overpassprediction missed13:7
Lynn Vision 37%Alter Ego 63%
The model gave 63% on Alter Ego — the map was taken by Lynn Vision.
Model check result
Model favoriteLynn Vision · 72%
Series resultLynn Vision 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2