Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
5star#35 in the world · win 2:1series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Rare Atom#105 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust25star ban
40%71%
5star · 1 mapedge Rare Atom +31%Rare Atom · 3 maps
Infernopossible decider
60%57%
5star · 1 mapnearly even +3%Rare Atom · 3 maps
AncientRare Atom pick
60%67%
5star · 1 mapedge Rare Atom +7%Rare Atom · 2 maps
Anubis5star pick
60%40%
5star · 1 mapedge 5star +20%Rare Atom · 1 map
MirageRare Atom ban
50%33%
5star · 0 mapsedge 5star +17%Rare Atom · 2 maps
Default5star ban
50%60%
5star · 0 mapsedge Rare Atom +10%Rare Atom · 1 map
NukeRare Atom ban
60%50%
5star · 1 mapedge 5star +10%Rare Atom · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban5star remove Dust2
2. BanRare Atom remove Nuke
3. Pick5star take Anubis
4. PickRare Atom take Ancient
5. BanRare Atom remove Mirage
6. Ban5star remove Default
DeciderInferno (60% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:11
5star 19%Rare Atom 81%
The model gave 81% on Rare Atom — the map was taken by 5star.
Anubisprediction missed6:13
5star 72%Rare Atom 28%
The model gave 72% on 5star — the map was taken by Rare Atom.
Infernoprediction correct16:13
5star 53%Rare Atom 47%
The model gave 53% on 5star — the map was taken by 5star.
Model check result
Model favoriteRare Atom · 54%
Series result5star 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3