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NODWIN Clutch Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
TDK#95 in the world · loss 0:2
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nuclear TigeRES#70 in the world · win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct5:13
TDK 47%Nuclear TigeRES 53%
The model gave 53% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Dust2prediction missed7:13
TDK 53%Nuclear TigeRES 47%
The model gave 53% on TDK — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Model check result
Model favoriteNuclear TigeRES · 52%
Series resultNuclear TigeRES 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2