BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Isurus#115 in the world · win 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GUARA#234 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientGUARA ban
60%50%
Isurus · 1 mapedge Isurus +10%GUARA · 0 maps
Dust2Isurus ban
40%50%
Isurus · 1 mapedge GUARA +10%GUARA · 0 maps
InfernoIsurus pick
60%50%
Isurus · 1 mapedge Isurus +10%GUARA · 0 maps
NukeGUARA pick
40%50%
Isurus · 1 mapedge GUARA +10%GUARA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIsurus remove Dust2
2. BanGUARA remove Ancient
3. PickIsurus take Inferno
4. PickGUARA take Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:3
Isurus 43%GUARA 57%
The model gave 57% on GUARA — the map was taken by Isurus.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
Isurus 37%GUARA 63%
The model gave 63% on GUARA — the map was taken by Isurus.
Model check result
Model favoriteIsurus · 59%
Series resultIsurus 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2