BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Isurus#186 in the world · win 2:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GUARA#234 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Isurus pick
45%50%
Isurus · 7 mapsedge GUARA +5%GUARA · 0 maps
MirageGUARA ban
63%50%
Isurus · 4 mapsedge Isurus +13%GUARA · 0 maps
AncientIsurus ban
43%50%
Isurus · 3 mapsedge GUARA +7%GUARA · 0 maps
Infernopossible decider
57%50%
Isurus · 3 mapsedge Isurus +7%GUARA · 0 maps
DefaultGUARA ban
67%50%
Isurus · 2 mapsedge Isurus +17%GUARA · 0 maps
NukeGUARA pick
50%50%
Isurus · 2 mapsnearly even +0%GUARA · 0 maps
OverpassIsurus ban
50%50%
Isurus · 2 mapsnearly even +0%GUARA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIsurus remove Ancient
2. BanGUARA remove Default
3. PickIsurus take Dust2
4. PickGUARA take Nuke
5. BanGUARA remove Mirage
6. BanIsurus remove Overpass
DeciderInferno (57% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:3
Isurus 48%GUARA 52%
The model gave 52% on GUARA — the map was taken by Isurus.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
Isurus 47%GUARA 53%
The model gave 53% on GUARA — the map was taken by Isurus.
Model check result
Model favoriteIsurus · 66%
Series resultIsurus 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2