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Odyssey Cup Brazil 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Yawara#156 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Turma do Pagode#91 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Yawara pick
56%71%
Yawara · 5 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +15%Turma do Pagode · 3 maps
InfernoYawara ban
38%40%
Yawara · 4 mapsnearly even -2%Turma do Pagode · 1 map
AncientTurma do Pagode pick
40%57%
Yawara · 1 mapedge Turma do Pagode +17%Turma do Pagode · 3 maps
MirageTurma do Pagode ban
75%50%
Yawara · 4 mapsedge Yawara +25%Turma do Pagode · 0 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%60%
Yawara · 2 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +10%Turma do Pagode · 1 map
NukeTurma do Pagode ban
50%33%
Yawara · 0 mapsedge Yawara +17%Turma do Pagode · 2 maps
OverpassYawara ban
50%67%
Yawara · 0 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +17%Turma do Pagode · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanYawara remove Overpass
2. BanTurma do Pagode remove Mirage
3. PickYawara take Dust2
4. PickTurma do Pagode take Ancient
5. BanTurma do Pagode remove Nuke
6. BanYawara remove Inferno
DeciderAnubis (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction missed13:2
Yawara 31%Turma do Pagode 69%
The model gave 69% on Turma do Pagode — the map was taken by Yawara.
Ancientprediction correct10:13
Yawara 36%Turma do Pagode 64%
The model gave 64% on Turma do Pagode — the map was taken by Turma do Pagode.
Dust2prediction missed13:11
Yawara 33%Turma do Pagode 67%
The model gave 67% on Turma do Pagode — the map was taken by Yawara.
Model check result
Model favoriteYawara · 65%
Series resultYawara 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3