Odyssey Cup Brazil 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Yawara#131 in the world · win 2:1series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:1
TDTurma do Pagodeloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientYawara ban
50%40%
Yawara · 0 mapsedge Yawara +10%Turma do Pagode · 1 map
InfernoTurma do Pagode ban
50%40%
Yawara · 0 mapsedge Yawara +10%Turma do Pagode · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanYawara remove Ancient
2. BanTurma do Pagode remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction missed13:2
Yawara 47%Turma do Pagode 53%
The model gave 53% on Turma do Pagode — the map was taken by Yawara.
Ancientprediction missed10:13
Yawara 63%Turma do Pagode 37%
The model gave 63% on Yawara — the map was taken by Turma do Pagode.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
Yawara 50%Turma do Pagode 50%
The model gave 50% on Yawara — the map was taken by Yawara.
Model check result
Model favoriteYawara · 59%
Series resultYawara 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3