CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
fnatic#36 in the world · win 2:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HAVU#107 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2HAVU ban
40%30%
fnatic · 1 mapedge fnatic +10%HAVU · 6 maps
MirageHAVU pick
43%50%
fnatic · 3 mapsedge HAVU +7%HAVU · 2 maps
Nukefnatic ban
50%50%
fnatic · 0 mapsnearly even +0%HAVU · 4 maps
Infernofnatic pick
57%50%
fnatic · 3 mapsedge fnatic +7%HAVU · 0 maps
AncientHAVU ban
50%50%
fnatic · 2 mapsnearly even +0%HAVU · 0 maps
Overpassfnatic ban
50%50%
fnatic · 0 mapsnearly even +0%HAVU · 2 maps
Anubispossible decider
60%50%
fnatic · 1 mapedge fnatic +10%HAVU · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banfnatic remove Nuke
2. BanHAVU remove Ancient
3. Pickfnatic take Inferno
4. PickHAVU take Mirage
5. BanHAVU remove Dust2
6. Banfnatic remove Overpass
DeciderAnubis (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:2
fnatic 40%HAVU 60%
The model gave 60% on HAVU — the map was taken by fnatic.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
fnatic 60%HAVU 40%
The model gave 60% on fnatic — the map was taken by fnatic.
Model check result
Model favoritefnatic · 65%
Series resultfnatic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2