CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
MOUZ NXT#146 in the world · win 2:1series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:1
UNiTY#102 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientUNiTY pick
50%42%
MOUZ NXT · 2 mapsedge MOUZ NXT +8%UNiTY · 8 maps
MirageMOUZ NXT pick
38%50%
MOUZ NXT · 4 mapsedge UNiTY +12%UNiTY · 6 maps
Dust2UNiTY ban
57%40%
MOUZ NXT · 3 mapsedge MOUZ NXT +17%UNiTY · 6 maps
AnubisMOUZ NXT ban
50%43%
MOUZ NXT · 0 mapsedge MOUZ NXT +7%UNiTY · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%60%
MOUZ NXT · 1 mapnearly even +0%UNiTY · 1 map
InfernoMOUZ NXT ban
50%67%
MOUZ NXT · 0 mapsedge UNiTY +17%UNiTY · 2 maps
NukeUNiTY ban
50%50%
MOUZ NXT · 2 mapsnearly even +0%UNiTY · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMOUZ NXT remove Inferno
2. BanUNiTY remove Nuke
3. PickMOUZ NXT take Mirage
4. PickUNiTY take Ancient
5. BanUNiTY remove Dust2
6. BanMOUZ NXT remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct4:13
MOUZ NXT 40%UNiTY 60%
The model gave 60% on UNiTY — the map was taken by UNiTY.
Ancientprediction correct13:11
MOUZ NXT 55%UNiTY 45%
The model gave 55% on MOUZ NXT — the map was taken by MOUZ NXT.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
MOUZ NXT 67%UNiTY 33%
The model gave 67% on MOUZ NXT — the map was taken by MOUZ NXT.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNiTY · 61%
Series resultMOUZ NXT 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3