NODWIN Clutch Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Betclic#65 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 0:2
FAVBET#105 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisBetclic pick
60%40%
Betclic · 1 mapedge Betclic +20%FAVBET · 1 map
InfernoFAVBET pick
40%60%
Betclic · 1 mapedge FAVBET +20%FAVBET · 1 map
NukeFAVBET ban
50%50%
Betclic · 0 mapsnearly even +0%FAVBET · 2 maps
AncientFAVBET ban
40%50%
Betclic · 1 mapedge FAVBET +10%FAVBET · 0 maps
DefaultBetclic ban
50%60%
Betclic · 0 mapsedge FAVBET +10%FAVBET · 1 map
OverpassBetclic ban
50%60%
Betclic · 0 mapsedge FAVBET +10%FAVBET · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBetclic remove Overpass
2. BanFAVBET remove Ancient
3. PickBetclic take Anubis
4. PickFAVBET take Inferno
5. BanFAVBET remove Nuke
6. BanBetclic remove Default
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct5:13
Betclic 37%FAVBET 63%
The model gave 63% on FAVBET — the map was taken by FAVBET.
Nukeprediction missed8:13
Betclic 53%FAVBET 47%
The model gave 53% on Betclic — the map was taken by FAVBET.
Model check result
Model favoriteBetclic · 66%
Series resultFAVBET 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2