CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Atreides#147 in the world · win 2:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NEW VISION#204 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNEW VISION pick
60%67%
Atreides · 1 mapedge NEW VISION +7%NEW VISION · 2 maps
OverpassNEW VISION ban
57%50%
Atreides · 3 mapsedge Atreides +7%NEW VISION · 0 maps
Dust2possible decider
40%40%
Atreides · 1 mapnearly even +0%NEW VISION · 1 map
MirageAtreides pick
67%50%
Atreides · 2 mapsedge Atreides +17%NEW VISION · 0 maps
AnubisAtreides ban
50%60%
Atreides · 0 mapsedge NEW VISION +10%NEW VISION · 1 map
DefaultNEW VISION ban
60%50%
Atreides · 1 mapedge Atreides +10%NEW VISION · 0 maps
InfernoAtreides ban
50%60%
Atreides · 0 mapsedge NEW VISION +10%NEW VISION · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAtreides remove Anubis
2. BanNEW VISION remove Overpass
3. PickAtreides take Mirage
4. PickNEW VISION take Ancient
5. BanNEW VISION remove Default
6. BanAtreides remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (40% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:5
Atreides 40%NEW VISION 60%
The model gave 60% on NEW VISION — the map was taken by Atreides.
Mirageprediction correct13:4
Atreides 69%NEW VISION 31%
The model gave 69% on Atreides — the map was taken by Atreides.
Model check result
Model favoriteAtreides · 54%
Series resultAtreides 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2