CCT 2026 Contenders Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Younglingswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageIMHOWeRGOAT pick
60%50%
IMHOWeRGOAT · 1 mapedge IMHOWeRGOAT +10%Younglings · 2 maps
AncientYounglings pick
50%40%
IMHOWeRGOAT · 0 mapsedge IMHOWeRGOAT +10%Younglings · 1 map
CacheIMHOWeRGOAT ban
50%60%
IMHOWeRGOAT · 0 mapsedge Younglings +10%Younglings · 1 map
DefaultYounglings ban
60%50%
IMHOWeRGOAT · 1 mapedge IMHOWeRGOAT +10%Younglings · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIMHOWeRGOAT remove Cache
2. BanYounglings remove Default
3. PickIMHOWeRGOAT take Mirage
4. PickYounglings take Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed7:13
IMHOWeRGOAT 53%Younglings 47%
The model gave 53% on IMHOWeRGOAT — the map was taken by Younglings.
Ancientprediction correct13:11
IMHOWeRGOAT 57%Younglings 43%
The model gave 57% on IMHOWeRGOAT — the map was taken by IMHOWeRGOAT.
Mirageprediction missed6:13
IMHOWeRGOAT 60%Younglings 40%
The model gave 60% on IMHOWeRGOAT — the map was taken by Younglings.
Model check result
Model favoriteIMHOWeRGOAT · 58%
Series resultYounglings 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3