PGL Astana 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
G2#12 in the world · win 2:0series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Fisher College#47 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:1
G2 47%Fisher College 53%
The model gave 53% on Fisher College — the map was taken by G2.
Infernoprediction correct13:5
G2 53%Fisher College 47%
The model gave 53% on G2 — the map was taken by G2.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 · 53%
Series resultG2 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2