Odyssey Cup Brazil 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
LP#107 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Turma do Pagode#91 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2LP ban
50%60%
LP · 4 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +10%Turma do Pagode · 1 map
AncientTurma do Pagode ban
50%60%
LP · 2 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +10%Turma do Pagode · 1 map
NukeTurma do Pagode ban
50%40%
LP · 2 mapsedge LP +10%Turma do Pagode · 1 map
OverpassTurma do Pagode pick
40%67%
LP · 1 mapedge Turma do Pagode +27%Turma do Pagode · 2 maps
InfernoLP pick
50%50%
LP · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Turma do Pagode · 0 maps
MirageLP ban
60%50%
LP · 1 mapedge LP +10%Turma do Pagode · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLP remove Mirage
2. BanTurma do Pagode remove Nuke
3. PickLP take Inferno
4. PickTurma do Pagode take Overpass
5. BanTurma do Pagode remove Ancient
6. BanLP remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct4:13
LP 43%Turma do Pagode 57%
The model gave 57% on Turma do Pagode — the map was taken by Turma do Pagode.
Dust2prediction correct5:13
LP 37%Turma do Pagode 63%
The model gave 63% on Turma do Pagode — the map was taken by Turma do Pagode.
Model check result
Model favoriteLP · 74%
Series resultTurma do Pagode 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2