CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
FAVBET#105 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:2
TNC#147 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientTNC pick
50%55%
FAVBET · 0 mapsedge TNC +5%TNC · 7 maps
MirageFAVBET ban
50%56%
FAVBET · 0 mapsedge TNC +6%TNC · 5 maps
Nukepossible decider
60%63%
FAVBET · 1 mapnearly even -3%TNC · 4 maps
AnubisFAVBET ban
50%57%
FAVBET · 0 mapsedge TNC +7%TNC · 3 maps
DefaultFAVBET pick
60%40%
FAVBET · 1 mapedge FAVBET +20%TNC · 1 map
Dust2TNC ban
50%40%
FAVBET · 0 mapsedge FAVBET +10%TNC · 1 map
InfernoTNC ban
60%50%
FAVBET · 1 mapedge FAVBET +10%TNC · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFAVBET remove Mirage
2. BanTNC remove Inferno
3. PickFAVBET take Default
4. PickTNC take Ancient
5. BanTNC remove Dust2
6. BanFAVBET remove Anubis
DeciderNuke (60% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct13:9
FAVBET 53%TNC 47%
The model gave 53% on FAVBET — the map was taken by FAVBET.
Nukeprediction correct12:16
FAVBET 44%TNC 56%
The model gave 56% on TNC — the map was taken by TNC.
Anubisprediction correct11:13
FAVBET 43%TNC 57%
The model gave 57% on TNC — the map was taken by TNC.
Model check result
Model favoriteFAVBET · 54%
Series resultTNC 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3