CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Imperial#51 in the world · win 2:0series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ALZON ban
70%50%
Imperial · 6 mapsedge Imperial +20%ALZON · 0 maps
InfernoImperial pick
67%71%
Imperial · 2 mapsnearly even -4%ALZON · 3 maps
AnubisALZON ban
63%50%
Imperial · 4 mapsedge Imperial +13%ALZON · 0 maps
Miragepossible decider
57%60%
Imperial · 3 mapsnearly even -3%ALZON · 1 map
NukeALZON pick
40%43%
Imperial · 1 mapnearly even -3%ALZON · 3 maps
AncientImperial ban
50%40%
Imperial · 0 mapsedge Imperial +10%ALZON · 1 map
DefaultImperial ban
50%60%
Imperial · 0 mapsedge ALZON +10%ALZON · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanImperial remove Ancient
2. BanALZON remove Dust2
3. PickImperial take Inferno
4. PickALZON take Nuke
5. BanALZON remove Anubis
6. BanImperial remove Default
DeciderMirage (57% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
Imperial 40%ALZON 60%
The model gave 60% on ALZON — the map was taken by Imperial.
Infernoprediction missed13:3
Imperial 42%ALZON 58%
The model gave 58% on ALZON — the map was taken by Imperial.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial · 81%
Series resultImperial 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2