CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Vasco#232 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Fake do Biru pick
50%43%
Fake do Biru · 6 mapsedge Fake do Biru +7%Vasco · 3 maps
Miragepossible decider
33%57%
Fake do Biru · 2 mapsedge Vasco +24%Vasco · 3 maps
InfernoVasco pick
50%67%
Fake do Biru · 2 mapsedge Vasco +17%Vasco · 2 maps
AnubisVasco ban
50%40%
Fake do Biru · 2 mapsedge Fake do Biru +10%Vasco · 1 map
AncientFake do Biru ban
50%67%
Fake do Biru · 0 mapsedge Vasco +17%Vasco · 2 maps
NukeVasco ban
67%50%
Fake do Biru · 2 mapsedge Fake do Biru +17%Vasco · 0 maps
OverpassFake do Biru ban
50%40%
Fake do Biru · 0 mapsedge Fake do Biru +10%Vasco · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFake do Biru remove Ancient
2. BanVasco remove Nuke
3. PickFake do Biru take Dust2
4. PickVasco take Inferno
5. BanVasco remove Anubis
6. BanFake do Biru remove Overpass
DeciderMirage (33% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:4
Fake do Biru 60%Vasco 40%
The model gave 60% on Fake do Biru — the map was taken by Fake do Biru.
Infernoprediction missed13:10
Fake do Biru 31%Vasco 69%
The model gave 69% on Vasco — the map was taken by Fake do Biru.
Model check result
Model favoriteFake do Biru · 62%
Series resultFake do Biru 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2