CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:1series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Ursa#88 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
58%67%
GenOne · 8 mapsedge Ursa +9%Ursa · 8 maps
NukeGenOne ban
56%36%
GenOne · 5 mapsedge GenOne +20%Ursa · 7 maps
OverpassUrsa ban
38%43%
GenOne · 4 mapsedge Ursa +5%Ursa · 3 maps
AncientUrsa ban
50%50%
GenOne · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Ursa · 0 maps
Infernopossible decider
67%38%
GenOne · 2 mapsedge GenOne +29%Ursa · 4 maps
MirageGenOne ban
50%56%
GenOne · 0 mapsedge Ursa +6%Ursa · 5 maps
AnubisUrsa pick
50%60%
GenOne · 0 mapsedge Ursa +10%Ursa · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Mirage
2. BanUrsa remove Ancient
3. PickGenOne take Dust2
4. PickUrsa take Anubis
5. BanUrsa remove Overpass
6. BanGenOne remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (67% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:7
GenOne 71%Ursa 29%
The model gave 71% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Dust2prediction correct9:13
GenOne 38%Ursa 62%
The model gave 62% on Ursa — the map was taken by Ursa.
Infernoprediction correct13:7
GenOne 77%Ursa 23%
The model gave 77% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteUrsa · 67%
Series resultGenOne 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3