CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
GenOne#147 in the world · win 2:1series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Ursa#68 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne ban
40%50%
GenOne · 1 mapedge Ursa +10%Ursa · 0 maps
OverpassUrsa ban
40%50%
GenOne · 1 mapedge Ursa +10%Ursa · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Dust2
2. BanUrsa remove Overpass
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:7
GenOne 53%Ursa 47%
The model gave 53% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Dust2prediction correct9:13
GenOne 37%Ursa 63%
The model gave 63% on Ursa — the map was taken by Ursa.
Infernoprediction correct13:7
GenOne 50%Ursa 50%
The model gave 50% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteUrsa · 66%
Series resultGenOne 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3