PGL Astana 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Falcons#5 in the world · win 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
K27#56 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:5
Falcons 47%K27 53%
The model gave 53% on K27 — the map was taken by Falcons.
Ancientprediction correct13:11
Falcons 53%K27 47%
The model gave 53% on Falcons — the map was taken by Falcons.
Model check result
Model favoriteFalcons · 55%
Series resultFalcons 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2