CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
BRUTE#74 in the world · win 2:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Atreides#147 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
60%40%
BRUTE · 6 mapsedge BRUTE +20%Atreides · 1 map
OverpassBRUTE pick
71%57%
BRUTE · 3 mapsedge BRUTE +14%Atreides · 3 maps
MirageAtreides pick
33%71%
BRUTE · 2 mapsedge Atreides +38%Atreides · 3 maps
InfernoAtreides ban
29%50%
BRUTE · 3 mapsedge Atreides +21%Atreides · 0 maps
AncientBRUTE ban
50%67%
BRUTE · 0 mapsedge Atreides +17%Atreides · 2 maps
NukeBRUTE ban
50%50%
BRUTE · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Atreides · 0 maps
AnubisAtreides ban
40%50%
BRUTE · 1 mapedge Atreides +10%Atreides · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBRUTE remove Ancient
2. BanAtreides remove Anubis
3. PickBRUTE take Overpass
4. PickAtreides take Mirage
5. BanAtreides remove Inferno
6. BanBRUTE remove Nuke
DeciderDust2 (60% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct13:6
BRUTE 68%Atreides 32%
The model gave 68% on BRUTE — the map was taken by BRUTE.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
BRUTE 15%Atreides 85%
The model gave 85% on Atreides — the map was taken by Atreides.
Infernoprediction missed16:14
BRUTE 29%Atreides 71%
The model gave 71% on Atreides — the map was taken by BRUTE.
Model check result
Model favoriteBRUTE · 55%
Series resultBRUTE 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3