CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
BRUTE#189 in the world · win 2:1series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Atreides#160 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageAtreides pick
50%67%
BRUTE · 0 mapsedge Atreides +17%Atreides · 2 maps
AncientBRUTE ban
50%60%
BRUTE · 0 mapsedge Atreides +10%Atreides · 1 map
Dust2BRUTE pick
40%50%
BRUTE · 1 mapedge Atreides +10%Atreides · 0 maps
NukeAtreides ban
40%50%
BRUTE · 1 mapedge Atreides +10%Atreides · 0 maps
OverpassAtreides ban
50%60%
BRUTE · 0 mapsedge Atreides +10%Atreides · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBRUTE remove Ancient
2. BanAtreides remove Nuke
3. PickBRUTE take Dust2
4. PickAtreides take Mirage
5. BanAtreides remove Overpass
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction missed13:6
BRUTE 43%Atreides 57%
The model gave 57% on Atreides — the map was taken by BRUTE.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
BRUTE 31%Atreides 69%
The model gave 69% on Atreides — the map was taken by Atreides.
Infernoprediction correct16:14
BRUTE 50%Atreides 50%
The model gave 50% on BRUTE — the map was taken by BRUTE.
Model check result
Model favoriteAtreides · 68%
Series resultBRUTE 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3