CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bounty Hunters#74 in the world · win 2:1series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Keyd Stars#155 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Keyd Stars pick
55%60%
Bounty Hunters · 7 mapsedge Keyd Stars +5%Keyd Stars · 6 maps
AncientKeyd Stars ban
70%50%
Bounty Hunters · 6 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +20%Keyd Stars · 2 maps
MirageKeyd Stars ban
56%43%
Bounty Hunters · 5 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +13%Keyd Stars · 3 maps
NukeBounty Hunters pick
75%57%
Bounty Hunters · 4 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +18%Keyd Stars · 3 maps
AnubisBounty Hunters ban
50%67%
Bounty Hunters · 2 mapsedge Keyd Stars +17%Keyd Stars · 2 maps
OverpassBounty Hunters ban
40%40%
Bounty Hunters · 1 mapnearly even +0%Keyd Stars · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBounty Hunters remove Overpass
2. BanKeyd Stars remove Ancient
3. PickBounty Hunters take Nuke
4. PickKeyd Stars take Dust2
5. BanKeyd Stars remove Mirage
6. BanBounty Hunters remove Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed14:16
Bounty Hunters 72%Keyd Stars 28%
The model gave 72% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by Keyd Stars.
Dust2prediction missed16:14
Bounty Hunters 42%Keyd Stars 58%
The model gave 58% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Nukeprediction correct13:6
Bounty Hunters 69%Keyd Stars 31%
The model gave 69% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Model check result
Model favoriteBounty Hunters · 71%
Series resultBounty Hunters 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3