PGL Astana 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISION#7 in the world · win 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Fisher College#47 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientPARIVISION ban
50%40%
PARIVISION · 0 mapsedge PARIVISION +10%Fisher College · 1 map
InfernoFisher College ban
50%40%
PARIVISION · 0 mapsedge PARIVISION +10%Fisher College · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPARIVISION remove Ancient
2. BanFisher College remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:5
PARIVISION 47%Fisher College 53%
The model gave 53% on Fisher College — the map was taken by PARIVISION.
Ancientprediction correct13:2
PARIVISION 63%Fisher College 37%
The model gave 63% on PARIVISION — the map was taken by PARIVISION.
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 63%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2