CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Imperial#51 in the world · win 2:1series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Yawara#156 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
64%63%
Imperial · 7 mapsnearly even +1%Yawara · 4 maps
AnubisYawara ban
56%50%
Imperial · 5 mapsedge Imperial +6%Yawara · 2 maps
InfernoImperial pick
75%43%
Imperial · 4 mapsedge Imperial +32%Yawara · 3 maps
MirageYawara pick
57%71%
Imperial · 3 mapsedge Yawara +14%Yawara · 3 maps
DefaultImperial ban
60%60%
Imperial · 1 mapnearly even +0%Yawara · 1 map
AncientImperial ban
50%40%
Imperial · 0 mapsedge Imperial +10%Yawara · 1 map
NukeYawara ban
40%50%
Imperial · 1 mapedge Yawara +10%Yawara · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanImperial remove Ancient
2. BanYawara remove Nuke
3. PickImperial take Inferno
4. PickYawara take Mirage
5. BanYawara remove Anubis
6. BanImperial remove Default
DeciderDust2 (64% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct10:13
Imperial 32%Yawara 68%
The model gave 68% on Yawara — the map was taken by Yawara.
Infernoprediction correct13:2
Imperial 82%Yawara 18%
The model gave 82% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
Imperial 51%Yawara 49%
The model gave 51% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial · 69%
Series resultImperial 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3