CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Imperial#55 in the world · win 2:1series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Yawara#131 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoYawara ban
67%50%
Imperial · 2 mapsedge Imperial +17%Yawara · 0 maps
AnubisImperial ban
40%50%
Imperial · 1 mapedge Yawara +10%Yawara · 0 maps
DefaultYawara pick
60%50%
Imperial · 1 mapedge Imperial +10%Yawara · 0 maps
Dust2Imperial pick
40%50%
Imperial · 1 mapedge Yawara +10%Yawara · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanImperial remove Anubis
2. BanYawara remove Inferno
3. PickImperial take Dust2
4. PickYawara take Default
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct10:13
Imperial 47%Yawara 53%
The model gave 53% on Yawara — the map was taken by Yawara.
Infernoprediction correct13:2
Imperial 69%Yawara 31%
The model gave 69% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Dust2prediction missed13:7
Imperial 40%Yawara 60%
The model gave 60% on Yawara — the map was taken by Imperial.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial · 58%
Series resultImperial 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3