CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Honvéd#144 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Noir Verse#124 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Noir Verse ban
61%40%
Honvéd · 24 mapsedge Honvéd +21%Noir Verse · 6 maps
MirageHonvéd pick
48%56%
Honvéd · 21 mapedge Noir Verse +8%Noir Verse · 5 maps
AncientNoir Verse ban
53%40%
Honvéd · 11 mapsedge Honvéd +13%Noir Verse · 6 maps
NukeNoir Verse pick
56%50%
Honvéd · 5 mapsedge Honvéd +6%Noir Verse · 8 maps
AnubisHonvéd ban
63%50%
Honvéd · 4 mapsedge Honvéd +13%Noir Verse · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
63%60%
Honvéd · 4 mapsnearly even +3%Noir Verse · 1 map
InfernoHonvéd ban
25%40%
Honvéd · 4 mapsedge Noir Verse +15%Noir Verse · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHonvéd remove Inferno
2. BanNoir Verse remove Dust2
3. PickHonvéd take Mirage
4. PickNoir Verse take Nuke
5. BanNoir Verse remove Ancient
6. BanHonvéd remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (63% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Honvéd 53%Noir Verse 47%
The model gave 53% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Honvéd.
Dust2prediction missed7:13
Honvéd 72%Noir Verse 28%
The model gave 72% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Mirageprediction correct5:13
Honvéd 42%Noir Verse 58%
The model gave 58% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Model check result
Model favoriteHonvéd · 59%
Series resultNoir Verse 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3