IEM Beijing 2026 Asia Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
NEXVOID#102 in the world · win 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Chinggis Warriors#116 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoNEXVOID pick
56%57%
NEXVOID · 5 mapsnearly even -1%Chinggis Warriors · 3 maps
Dust2NEXVOID ban
33%29%
NEXVOID · 2 mapsnearly even +4%Chinggis Warriors · 3 maps
NukeChinggis Warriors ban
50%29%
NEXVOID · 2 mapsedge NEXVOID +21%Chinggis Warriors · 3 maps
AncientChinggis Warriors ban
71%50%
NEXVOID · 3 mapsedge NEXVOID +21%Chinggis Warriors · 0 maps
CacheChinggis Warriors pick
40%40%
NEXVOID · 1 mapnearly even +0%Chinggis Warriors · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNEXVOID remove Dust2
2. BanChinggis Warriors remove Ancient
3. PickNEXVOID take Inferno
4. PickChinggis Warriors take Cache
5. BanChinggis Warriors remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:4
NEXVOID 45%Chinggis Warriors 55%
The model gave 55% on Chinggis Warriors — the map was taken by NEXVOID.
Ancientprediction correct13:3
NEXVOID 74%Chinggis Warriors 26%
The model gave 74% on NEXVOID — the map was taken by NEXVOID.
Model check result
Model favoriteNEXVOID · 59%
Series resultNEXVOID 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2