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IEM Beijing 2026 Asia Open Qualifier · BO3
pre-match prediction
Morningstar
series probability
40%60%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Rare Atom#98 in the world
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientMorningstar pick
50%60%
Morningstar · 0 mapsedge Rare Atom +10%Rare Atom · 1 map
CacheRare Atom pick
50%60%
Morningstar · 0 mapsedge Rare Atom +10%Rare Atom · 1 map
Dust2Rare Atom ban
50%40%
Morningstar · 0 mapsedge Morningstar +10%Rare Atom · 1 map
InfernoRare Atom ban
50%60%
Morningstar · 0 mapsedge Rare Atom +10%Rare Atom · 1 map
MirageMorningstar ban
50%60%
Morningstar · 0 mapsedge Rare Atom +10%Rare Atom · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMorningstar remove Mirage
2. BanRare Atom remove Dust2
3. PickMorningstar take Ancient
4. PickRare Atom take Cache
5. BanRare Atom remove Inferno