IEM Beijing 2026 Open Qualifier · BO1
result vs prediction
Eternal Fire#46 in the world · win 13:11series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 13:11
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Eternal Fire ban
50%52%
Eternal Fire · 8 mapsnearly even -2%ex-RUBY · 21 map
MirageEternal Fire ban
45%64%
Eternal Fire · 7 mapsedge ex-RUBY +19%ex-RUBY · 18 maps
NukeEternal Fire ban
50%63%
Eternal Fire · 4 mapsedge ex-RUBY +13%ex-RUBY · 20 maps
Ancientex-RUBY ban
55%47%
Eternal Fire · 7 mapsedge Eternal Fire +8%ex-RUBY · 15 maps
Overpassex-RUBY ban
57%64%
Eternal Fire · 3 mapsedge ex-RUBY +7%ex-RUBY · 7 maps
Cachepossible decider
57%63%
Eternal Fire · 3 mapsedge ex-RUBY +6%ex-RUBY · 4 maps
Anubisex-RUBY ban
50%60%
Eternal Fire · 4 mapsedge ex-RUBY +10%ex-RUBY · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEternal Fire remove Nuke
2. Banex-RUBY remove Anubis
3. BanEternal Fire remove Mirage
4. Banex-RUBY remove Ancient
5. BanEternal Fire remove Dust2
6. Banex-RUBY remove Overpass
DeciderCache (57% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:11
Eternal Fire 44%ex-RUBY 56%
The model gave 56% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUBY · 51%
Series resultEternal Fire 13:11
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1