IEM Beijing 2026 Open Qualifier · BO1
result vs prediction
BAKS#112 in the world · loss 4:13series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 4:13
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BAKS ban
50%56%
BAKS · 4 mapsedge Color +6%Color · 5 maps
CacheColor ban
67%33%
BAKS · 5 mapsedge BAKS +34%Color · 2 maps
Ancientpossible decider
71%57%
BAKS · 3 mapsedge BAKS +14%Color · 3 maps
MirageBAKS ban
43%43%
BAKS · 3 mapsnearly even +0%Color · 3 maps
InfernoColor ban
57%50%
BAKS · 3 mapsedge BAKS +7%Color · 2 maps
AnubisBAKS ban
50%67%
BAKS · 0 mapsedge Color +17%Color · 2 maps
NukeColor ban
50%50%
BAKS · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Color · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBAKS remove Anubis
2. BanColor remove Nuke
3. BanBAKS remove Mirage
4. BanColor remove Inferno
5. BanBAKS remove Dust2
6. BanColor remove Cache
DeciderAncient (71% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed4:13
BAKS 57%Color 43%
The model gave 57% on BAKS — the map was taken by Color.
Model check result
Model favoriteBAKS · 52%
Series resultColor 4:13
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1