IEM Beijing 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Nuclear TigeRES#54 in the world · win 2:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
CYBERSHOKE#90 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2CYBERSHOKE pick
53%54%
Nuclear TigeRES · 11 mapsnearly even -1%CYBERSHOKE · 20 maps
AncientNuclear TigeRES pick
57%62%
Nuclear TigeRES · 10 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +5%CYBERSHOKE · 17 maps
Nukepossible decider
53%46%
Nuclear TigeRES · 13 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +7%CYBERSHOKE · 9 maps
AnubisCYBERSHOKE ban
67%38%
Nuclear TigeRES · 14 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +29%CYBERSHOKE · 4 maps
MirageNuclear TigeRES ban
38%65%
Nuclear TigeRES · 4 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +27%CYBERSHOKE · 13 maps
OverpassNuclear TigeRES ban
50%60%
Nuclear TigeRES · 0 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +10%CYBERSHOKE · 6 maps
CacheCYBERSHOKE ban
67%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 2 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +17%CYBERSHOKE · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Mirage
2. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Anubis
3. PickNuclear TigeRES take Ancient
4. PickCYBERSHOKE take Dust2
5. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Cache
6. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Overpass
DeciderNuke (53% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:8
Nuclear TigeRES 48%CYBERSHOKE 52%
The model gave 52% on CYBERSHOKE — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Anubisprediction correct13:5
Nuclear TigeRES 75%CYBERSHOKE 25%
The model gave 75% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Model check result
Model favoriteNuclear TigeRES · 65%
Series resultNuclear TigeRES 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2