CCT 2026 Contenders Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
MAYBE#162 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
FORZE Reload#166 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
38%67%
MAYBE · 4 mapsedge FORZE Reload +29%FORZE Reload · 2 maps
MirageMAYBE pick
57%43%
MAYBE · 3 mapsedge MAYBE +14%FORZE Reload · 3 maps
AnubisFORZE Reload ban
50%50%
MAYBE · 2 mapsnearly even +0%FORZE Reload · 2 maps
Dust2MAYBE ban
33%50%
MAYBE · 2 mapsedge FORZE Reload +17%FORZE Reload · 2 maps
NukeFORZE Reload pick
60%57%
MAYBE · 1 mapnearly even +3%FORZE Reload · 3 maps
CacheMAYBE ban
50%57%
MAYBE · 0 mapsedge FORZE Reload +7%FORZE Reload · 3 maps
DefaultFORZE Reload ban
60%40%
MAYBE · 1 mapedge MAYBE +20%FORZE Reload · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMAYBE remove Dust2
2. BanFORZE Reload remove Anubis
3. PickMAYBE take Mirage
4. PickFORZE Reload take Nuke
5. BanFORZE Reload remove Default
6. BanMAYBE remove Cache
DeciderAncient (38% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct3:13
MAYBE 31%FORZE Reload 69%
The model gave 69% on FORZE Reload — the map was taken by FORZE Reload.
Mirageprediction missed7:13
MAYBE 67%FORZE Reload 33%
The model gave 67% on MAYBE — the map was taken by FORZE Reload.
Model check result
Model favoriteMAYBE · 51%
Series resultFORZE Reload 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2