BetBoom Storm Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Keyd Stars#155 in the world · win 1:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientKeyd Stars pick
55%50%
Keyd Stars · 16 mapsedge Keyd Stars +5%ex-GUARA · 0 maps
Mirageex-GUARA ban
53%50%
Keyd Stars · 11 mapsnearly even +3%ex-GUARA · 0 maps
Dust2possible decider
50%50%
Keyd Stars · 10 mapsnearly even +0%ex-GUARA · 0 maps
Nukeex-GUARA pick
29%50%
Keyd Stars · 10 mapsedge ex-GUARA +21%ex-GUARA · 0 maps
AnubisKeyd Stars ban
50%50%
Keyd Stars · 4 mapsnearly even +0%ex-GUARA · 0 maps
Defaultex-GUARA ban
60%40%
Keyd Stars · 1 mapedge Keyd Stars +20%ex-GUARA · 1 map
InfernoKeyd Stars ban
33%50%
Keyd Stars · 2 mapsedge ex-GUARA +17%ex-GUARA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKeyd Stars remove Inferno
2. Banex-GUARA remove Default
3. PickKeyd Stars take Ancient
4. Pickex-GUARA take Nuke
5. Banex-GUARA remove Mirage
6. BanKeyd Stars remove Anubis
DeciderDust2 (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Keyd Stars 69%ex-GUARA 31%
The model gave 69% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by Keyd Stars.
Model check result
Model favoriteKeyd Stars · 64%
Series resultKeyd Stars 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1