BetBoom Storm Season 4 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:2
ALKA#129 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2UNO MILLE pick
61%67%
UNO MILLE · 14 mapsedge ALKA +6%ALKA · 8 maps
NukeUNO MILLE ban
58%55%
UNO MILLE · 8 mapsnearly even +3%ALKA · 7 maps
AncientALKA pick
55%64%
UNO MILLE · 7 mapsedge ALKA +9%ALKA · 7 maps
InfernoALKA ban
54%56%
UNO MILLE · 9 mapsnearly even -2%ALKA · 5 maps
MirageUNO MILLE ban
38%44%
UNO MILLE · 4 mapsedge ALKA +6%ALKA · 5 maps
AnubisALKA ban
64%40%
UNO MILLE · 7 mapsedge UNO MILLE +24%ALKA · 1 map
Overpasspossible decider
55%60%
UNO MILLE · 7 mapsedge ALKA +5%ALKA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUNO MILLE remove Mirage
2. BanALKA remove Anubis
3. PickUNO MILLE take Dust2
4. PickALKA take Ancient
5. BanALKA remove Inferno
6. BanUNO MILLE remove Nuke
DeciderOverpass (55% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:2
UNO MILLE 38%ALKA 62%
The model gave 62% on ALKA — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Cacheprediction missed9:13
UNO MILLE 53%ALKA 47%
The model gave 53% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by ALKA.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
UNO MILLE 44%ALKA 56%
The model gave 56% on ALKA — the map was taken by ALKA.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNO MILLE · 62%
Series resultALKA 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3