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CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Turma do Pagode#91 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BESTIA Academy#172 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientTurma do Pagode ban
50%57%
Turma do Pagode · 0 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +7%BESTIA Academy · 3 maps
InfernoTurma do Pagode ban
50%43%
Turma do Pagode · 0 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +7%BESTIA Academy · 3 maps
Dust2Turma do Pagode pick
60%40%
Turma do Pagode · 1 mapedge Turma do Pagode +20%BESTIA Academy · 1 map
NukeBESTIA Academy pick
40%60%
Turma do Pagode · 1 mapedge BESTIA Academy +20%BESTIA Academy · 1 map
MirageBESTIA Academy ban
50%40%
Turma do Pagode · 0 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +10%BESTIA Academy · 1 map
OverpassBESTIA Academy ban
60%50%
Turma do Pagode · 1 mapedge Turma do Pagode +10%BESTIA Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTurma do Pagode remove Ancient
2. BanBESTIA Academy remove Mirage
3. PickTurma do Pagode take Dust2
4. PickBESTIA Academy take Nuke
5. BanBESTIA Academy remove Overpass
6. BanTurma do Pagode remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:10
Turma do Pagode 40%BESTIA Academy 60%
The model gave 60% on BESTIA Academy — the map was taken by Turma do Pagode.
Overpassprediction correct13:7
Turma do Pagode 63%BESTIA Academy 37%
The model gave 63% on Turma do Pagode — the map was taken by Turma do Pagode.
Model check result
Model favoriteBESTIA Academy · 55%
Series resultTurma do Pagode 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2